Daily Kos

Kristof in NYT and Bush's top failure

Sat Sep 25, 2004 at 06:17:22 AM PDT

If supplying nukes to North Korea, Iran, Libya, and potentially to Saudis makes a nation America's great friend, then perhaps all nations would want to have such behavior on their resume when filling out the application form for becoming a US friend.

Nicholas Kristof in the NY Times, today
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/25/opinion/25kristoff.html


If a nuclear weapon destroys the U.S. Capitol in coming years, it will probably be based in part on Pakistani technology. The biggest challenge to civilization in recent years came not from Osama or Saddam Hussein but from Abdul Qadeer Khan, the father of Pakistan's atomic bomb. Dr. Khan definitely sold nuclear technology to Iran, North Korea and Libya, and, officials believe, to several more nations as well.

But, amazingly, eight months after Dr. Khan publicly confessed, we still don't know who the rest of his customers were.

Here's the LA Times editors' take on this farce:

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-ed-pakistan16sep16,1,870547.story


Claims by Musharraf, who seized power in a 1999 coup and is also Pakistan's top general, that the military and government knew nothing about Khan's activities beggar belief. Yet Musharraf, whose spokesman announced Wednesday the general was reneging on his promise to step down as head of the army, apparently did convince Washington. Secretary of State Colin L. Powell visited Islamabad in March and announced that the U.S. was designating Pakistan "a major non-NATO ally." Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said there was no reason to believe Musharraf was involved in Khan's network.

**
And no, Musharraf won't allow Omar Sheikh, implicated in Daniel Pearl's murder, and implicated in wiring money to 9/11 hijacker Mohammed Atta to be extradited to the US either.

This line that when Musharraf falls, nukes will end up in fundamentalist hands is faulty. Nukes are already in fundamentalist hands. Several of the top Pakistani nuclear scientists attend jehad conferences, some had met Bin Laden before 9/11, and AQ Khan had singled out America's worst enemies to send nukes to.

I consider this Bush's  top national security failure. It seems that in return for presumed promises of Musharraf to catch some "high value targets", the full extent of the nuclear proliferation network has been left uninvestigated. Kristof's conclusion that if a nuclear 9/11 happens, it would likely be traced back to Pakistan, is no surprise.

Changing America's Grand Strategy

Wed Aug 11, 2004 at 04:10:46 PM PDT

Too much of American energies, political, diplomatic and military, in the last two years have been expended in pursuit of the philosophy that nations around the world need to be democratized so that we can be safe from terrorism. Whether democracy actually obliterates terrorism, or whether we will create many more sources of insecurity, and neglect other ones, in the process of "democratization" of the world, are questions that have not been sufficiently addressed by the media.

In the journal "In the National Interest", I have written a commentary on why this focus on democratization should be a very low priority in the nation's grand strategy.

http://www.inthenationalinterest.com/Articles/Vol3Issue32/Vol3Issue32Atal.html

Exit Iraq by Jan. 2005: Cato Institute Task Force Report

Mon Jun 21, 2004 at 11:34:19 AM PDT

Exiting Iraq: Why the U.S. Must End the Military Occupation and Renew the War against Al Qaeda

http://www.catostore.org/index.asp?fa=ProductDetails&pid=1441206&method=search&t=Exiting +Iraq&a=&k=&aeid=&adv=&pg=


The U.S. occupation of Iraq has now passed the one-year mark. With no end in sight, the Cato Institute convened a special task force of scholars and policy experts to examine U.S. strategic interests in Iraq and to question the Bush administration's intention to "stay as long as necessary."

In this joint statement, the members of the special task force argue that the military occupation must end. They assert that the presence of troops in Iraq distracts attention from fighting al-Qaeda and emboldens a new class of terrorists to take up arms against the United States. Moreover, the occupation is enormously costly for American taxpayers, exposes our men and women in uniform to unnecessary risks, and undermines attempts to foster political and economic reform in the region.

Unlike other reports that shy away from stipulating an end date for the U.S. occupation, Exiting Iraq advocates a military withdrawal by January 1, 2005. The task force's findings are essential reading for anyone concerned with clearly defining vital U.S. interests and crafting a foreign policy that best defends those interests.

         

Another hammer drops

Sun Jun 13, 2004 at 05:13:49 AM PDT

A group of former diplomats and military officials, many in Republican administrations, is coming out with a statement this week on why the Bush administration has been weak on national security, and must go in the November elections.

A Republican strategist spins this and claims the group is "not well known". Not well known - an ex-CIA chief, an ex-Joint Chief of Staff, ex ambassadors to Russia, France, Israel, Mexico ...

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/2004/la-na-diplo13jun13,1,1142936.story?coll=la-home-headlines


Retired Officials Say Bush Must Go
The 26 ex-diplomats and military leaders say his foreign policy has harmed national security. Several served under Republicans.

This is not going to be very easy to spin out of. Let's see empirically what's going on in the "war on terrorism":

  • Iran wants to be declared nuclear power, gaining significant influence in Iraq
  • Americans getting targeted in Saudi Arabia
  • Iraq assassinations, car bombings continue while we now are adding Kurds to our antagonist list by trying to appease Sistani
  • Pakistan hangs in balance, nuclear proliferation ramifications unknown, extent of jihadi penetration in military unknown
  • Check out reports by International Institute of Strategic Studies (UK) and Janes Intelligence Digest on how the Al Qaeda is reconstituted

Janes: Iraqi nuclear sites being looted

Sun May 16, 2004 at 07:08:02 AM PDT

Janes Intelligence Digest, May 7 issue, reports that looting of Iraqi nuclear sites (this appears to be recent) has been happening "under the watchful eye of US-led Coalition troops" - exact quote.

The IAEA has confirmed that a known Iraqi mine was the likely source of yellowcake that showed up in a shipment in Rotterdam last December. Iraqi missile equipment that was being monitored by the UN before the Iraq war has also turned up in Europe.

WTF is going on? Any other reports out there on this? I don't think Janes can be relegated to the commie-liberal media dump, it is a respected defense/intelligence outlet read around the world.

If these reports are true, this turns the long dead WMD argument for the Iraq war completely on its head.

The flip side of Iraq...

Mon Mar 29, 2004 at 09:09:29 AM PDT

is Pakistan. Check out what Musharraf says below (from Reuters today)

Musharraf also played down the harm done by the
nuclear technology transfers to which Khan has
confessed.

"People are, I think, over-assessing the physical
damage of the proliferation that he has done," he
said.

"If I hand over a missile or a bomb to any extremist,
believe me, he can do nothing about it," he said. "He
cannot explode it" without knowledge of a
sophisticated triggering mechanism.

That the Bush admin exaggerated Iraq is one thing. That it is downplaying the threat from Pakistan is far more dangerous.

Rumsfeld says in the Reuters report:

"I'm not going to say that," Rumsfeld replied when
asked whether he was confident there had been no other
"high-level military" involvement in Pakistan.

"You can't prove a negative," he added. "You can't say
that I know that every person connected with the
Pakistani military over some sustained period of time
had no knowledge or participation whatsoever. That's
silly. I couldn't do that."

So here it is, we have declared this country our major non-NATO ally, but we don't know who all in Pakistan were involved in nuclear trading (and where are they now?). I also don't remember hearing from the Bush administration about the FBI tracing funding for 9-11 hijackers to Pakistan, or that at least some of those suspected of links to the funding, including the then ISI chief, are still in Pakistan.

This charade continues today. Musharraf claimed a "high-value target", hinting at Zawahiri, was surrounded the day Colin Powell declared Pakistan a major ally. Now we find out that there "was a tunnel" and it wasn't Zawahiri anyway. Yesterday Pakistan declared success and announced it was winding down the operation.

All Iraq is doing is distracting us from the fact that we have not shut down all the players that were involved in 9/11, and have not secured the nukes that those players are too dangerously close to. And Musharraf is poking us in the eye, saying so what if we gave nukes to extremists, at least we didn't give them the triggering mechanism.

That this jehadi-nuke potential mushroom cloud was obvious was published in an analysis 2 weeks before the 2003 Iraq war started:

http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa-472es.html

There remain many unanswered questions:

http://www.saag.org/papers10/paper929.html

New whistleblower

Wed Mar 24, 2004 at 10:20:31 PM PDT

Official weighed quitting over suppressed data
Medicare actuary threatened to resign over stifled figures
The Associated Press
March  24, 2004

WASHINGTON - A top Medicare official told Congress Wednesday he had considered quitting to protest what he called an unethical Bush administration effort to stop him from telling lawmakers the cost of Medicare legislation.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/4595442/

Offshoring national security to Pakistan

Sun Mar 21, 2004 at 05:47:42 PM PDT

Depending upon Pakistan to neutralize the myriad terrorist groups in that country for the past two years, as well as depending upon them to ensure that nuclear weapons don't fall into the hands of jehadis has left the United States tremendously vulnerable. This is at the same time our attention is diverted by the mayhem that Bush created in Iraq.

See the chilling articles below and judge how strong Bush is on defense.

al-Qaida No. 2: We Have Briefcase Nukes
http://customwire.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AL_QAIDA_NUCLEAR?SITE=DCTMS&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE DEFAULT

Pak's Osama ruse duped US
"http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/572853.cms">http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/572853.cms

Pakistan changes the subject
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/20/opinion/20SAT1.html

Bush's George Orwell moment

Fri Mar 19, 2004 at 09:23:44 PM PDT

Zawahiri surrounded 1 day after Powell declares Pakistan an ally on par with Israel and Japan (there is coincidence and then there is Coincidence). Iraq attacked and turned into chaos when it had no WMDs and no Al Qaeda connections.

Pakistan, which was running a nuclear WalMart in the meanwhile and still has jehadis operating within eyesight of its military headquarters in Islamabad - gets billions of dollars of US taxpayer money.

We are going to establish democracy in Iraq - but we were trying to pass off these caucuses which would have put in pro-US people in power. Anyone who disagrees with the Bushies is weak on terror. The French and now the Spanish are evil, but the Saudis are our allies. And the media swallows and spits all this out dutifully.

This is not too far from George Orwell's 1984.  

   

Most serious charge against Bush foreign policy

Wed Mar 17, 2004 at 04:55:00 AM PDT

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-scheer16mar16,1,3590981.column


Before reflexive Europe-bashers rush to toss Spain into their bulging "coward" bin, they should remember that the Spanish, like our German and French critics, did not come to this position because they lacked a will to fight terrorism. In fact, they speak from much raw and painful experience as colonial powers. As Rodriguez Zapatero put it, "Wars such as those which have occurred in Iraq only allow hatred, violence and terror to proliferate."

 That is the most serious charge that can be leveled at the Bush foreign policy, which has weakened our security as well as that of the rest of the world. Instead of facing up to the threat posed by Islamic extremists and their sponsors and apologists in Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, the U.S. sent 200,000 young Americans to overthrow an already defanged dictator in Iraq -- a secular nationalist who was himself high on Osama bin Laden's hit list -- leaving the United States bogged down in a state of near-total disarray and chaos.

 What Bush has never grasped is that when it comes to fighting terrorists, the United States' democratic allies are in an excellent position to be mentors. They have a much better understanding of the Muslim world, for example, and have better intelligence assets there. Yet the hawks in the administration continue to belittle democracies when they dare to disagree with us while embracing military dictators who pretend to do our bidding.

 To give just one egregious example of the lack of logic, clarity of goals or consistent methodology in Bush's version of the war on terror: Before 9/11, the United States had wisely imposed sanctions on Pakistan for being an active proliferator of nuclear weapons technology. Yet, after the attacks, Bush lifted those sanctions to buy Pakistan's nominal support for coming wars. In recent weeks, however, we have learned that Pakistan's role in nuclear proliferation was our nation's worst nightmare: It was selling kits for making uranium-based bombs to such rogue nations as North Korea, Iran and Libya.

Stark foreign policy choices for the next president

Sat Mar 13, 2004 at 11:30:56 AM PDT

http://www.realisticforeignpolicy.org/content/view/22/2/


In America's Strategic Choices, a book published over three years before the events of September 11, the authors predicted that a strategy for global domination would lead U.S. policy makers to inflate threats in order to justify questionable interventions abroad. Conversely, the same quest for global primacy also creates "sacred cows," such as Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, as evidenced by the Bush administration's tendency to omit references to misdeeds attributable to the two nations.

In the case of Saudi Arabia, its financial support for jihad continues, but this is often downplayed given its role as a U.S. ally enabling unquestioned American strategic dominance in the Middle East. Similarly, a long-term U.S. strategic hold in South Asia is accorded a higher priority than forcing Gen. Musharraf to shut down the entire terrorist infrastructure for good, and getting Pakistan's nuclear assets out of the reach of jihadis hell-bent on destroying America.

Should the next administration continue on a path towards increasing U.S. primacy in the world, even if it means compromising in the war on terror? Is the quest for global primacy more important than national security, and is such primacy even feasible, given that such a quest has helped push the nation towards destabilizing budget deficits? The 2004 presidential campaign will be a chance for the American electorate to understand and question such vital choices that are being made at the highest levels of strategic policy making.

Seymour Hersh in the New Yorker

Tue Mar 02, 2004 at 09:13:35 PM PDT

Seymour Hersh (http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?040308fa_fact) of the New Yorker delves into the chilling "DEAL" - the Bush free pass to the Musharraf "pardon" of A. Q. Khan. But as Hersh points out (and as Bernard Henri-Levy, Barry Bearak of NY Times, and Paul Watson of the LA Times have found out about Pakistan in the past year), it was a "make-believe performance in a make-believe capital.

Where we are left now (and the Bush guys don't want us to spend our brain cells thinking too much about it), is that Pakistan has supplied nukes to just about every "rogue nation" in the world. And no one knows where the dividing line is between jihadis and Musharraf's military and intelligence agencies. And many of his nuclear scientists regularly attend jihadi conferences. And two of Pakistan's four provinces are ruled by parties that support the Taliban.

And we just spent the past two years or so taking our eyes off the ball and instead marching on to Baghdad.

Cynthia Tucker, on why Bush is NOT strong on national security

Sat Feb 14, 2004 at 03:18:18 PM PDT

What's Scary Is More Bush

http://www.ajc.com/opinion/content/opinion/tucker/index.html

The simple truth is that the United States should be engaged in a grueling, long-term campaign against Islamist fanatics. But that sort of war would likely have entailed an invasion of Pakistan instead of the distraction of Iraq. Pakistan has done everything that Bush falsely claimed Iraq had done: it sheltered al-Qaida, and its scientists sold secrets and parts for making the mother of all WMD -- the nuclear bomb -- to North Korea, Libya and Iran. But a war against a nuclear power like Pakistan may have involved thousands of U.S. casualties. It would have been a real war.

Impeachment?

Fri Feb 06, 2004 at 07:27:29 AM PDT

In talking incessantly about the WMDs that weren't there, we are missing the WMDs (the worst kind - nukes) that were there and were being handed out to all the declared enemies of the US and state sponsors of terrorism - by Pakistan. At the same time, Pakistan's military and intellligence agencies are riddled with Al Qaeda and Taliban sympathizers, and its intelligence chief was suspected of links to 9/11.

Here's a direct quote from today's Washington Post: 'Rather than moving to impose sanctions on Pakistan -- action that might be expected for a government that has been caught providing the technology for nuclear weapons to such countries as Iran, Libya and North Korea -- it has swallowed his coverup and even congratulated him on it. "We value the commitments Mr. Musharraf has made to prevent the expertise in Pakistan from reaching other places," State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said yesterday. "We think that Pakistan is taking serious efforts to end the activities of a dangerous network." As for the pardon of Mr. Khan -- who by Pakistan's account is probably the worst criminal in the history of nuclear weapons proliferation -- "I don't think it's a matter for the United States to sit in judgment on," Mr. Boucher said.'

President Bush is going against his own "pre-emptive doctrine" by giving Pakistan a free pass, while he spent the past year waging war on Iraq.

Subodh

War on terror

Sun Feb 01, 2004 at 10:39:35 PM PDT

The hoopla about the Iraq invasion, occupation, chaos, and now the WMD non-finds, has served to distract from the central issue in the war on terror. What is the main threat to the United States and where is it? Of course it wasn't Saddam. Even considering the now maligned "intelligence", the WMD threat and the Al Qaeda threat from Iraq was nothing compared to that in so-called ally Pakistan.

Pakistan, as the prime intersection of Al Qaeda, Taliban, functioning terrorist camps, active jihadi groups and 10s of thousands of madrassas, as well as the world's nuclear WalMart, should have been the prime focus of the war on terror. But President Bush considers its devious dictator Pervez Musharraf a tight ally, and conveniently neglects to mention repeated Pakistani actions that endanger the US.

Musharraf makes tall speeches about fighting extremism and about confidence in control over his nuclear weapons. But terrorist leaders operate with impunity in his country. The HQ of one of such leaders is within eyesight of a Pakistani military base in its capital. And Musharraf has not allowed investigation into leaking of nuclear secrets to America's worst enemies to touch the Pakistani military. Meanwhile the Taliban continue to regroup from bases in Pakistan. In addition, Pakistan has also supported warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, whose militia is harassing US-led forces in Afghanistan.

Pakistan's intelligence chief resigned a few weeks after 9/11, suspected of having funded the attacks. Has his role in the attacks been thoroughly investigated by the US? Pakistan's air force chief also was suspected of connections to 9/11. According to Gerald Posner's book, "Why America Slept", the air chief died in a mysterious crash not long after the suspicions came to light. Many in the nuclear establishment (which is now being made a scapegoat in the nuclear trade scandal) are known to be jihad sympathizers.

Not surprisingly, foreign journalists have been banned from traveling outside three main Pakistani cities. Barry Bearak of NY Times magazine recently called Pakistan a "hub of duplicity", with Bernard Henri-Levy's book last year going into extensive detail about the goings-on inside that nation.

What was that about "with friends like these...". It would be enlightening to see a debate about Pakistan policy between the president and the eventual Democratic nominee.

Subodh


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